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53 Seats: Final Tally Leaves Israel's Parliament Hung

Netanyahu’s bloc leads by a narrow margin, forcing difficult coalition math as absentee ballots are counted.

By Claire Herrera ·

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Israelis face a parliamentary deadlock after final election results confirmed a hung parliament on Thursday. No single bloc commands the 61 seats required to control the 120-member Knesset. This outcome forces leaders into urgent negotiations to form a governing coalition or risk another round of voting.

Local media projections place Binyamin Netanyahu’s bloc at 53 seats. Opposition parties hold 48 seats, and Arab-led parties secure 19 seats. These numbers leave a gap of eight seats between the leading bloc and the majority threshold. The final count is expected to be announced as early as Thursday evening. About 500,000 absentee ballots from military personnel, diplomats, and prisoners are being tallied. Officials do not expect these ballots to shift the overall outcome significantly.

Netanyahu remains in charge while coalition talks proceed. His chief rival, former military chief Gadi Eisenkot, addressed supporters on Wednesday. He described the need for a government that serves all citizens and reflects the popular will. Eisenkot did not explicitly mention partnering with Arab-led parties in his initial statement. However, he previously indicated he is open to working with them to reach the necessary majority.

The Joint List, one of the major Arab parties, expressed openness to political cooperation. The party cited a strong showing of support from both Arab voters and Jewish citizens who opposed the current government. Small rallies took place overnight in Tel Aviv and Jerusalem. These gatherings supported the idea of including Arab-led parties in the new coalition. No Arab party has joined a government since a brief stint in 2021.

Netanyahu’s Likud party has challenged the results. It accused Arab-led parties of stealing the election and asked the election committee to investigate. Likud provided no specific evidence for its claims. The election committee stated that reported irregularities were low in an otherwise calm voting process.

President Yitzhak Herzog will task a leader with forming the next government next week. Tradition favors the leader of the party with the most votes, but this is not a constitutional requirement. Both Herzog and Eisenkot have signaled a desire to avoid new elections. A repeat vote would raise questions about voter turnout, particularly among Arab citizens and Israelis who traveled home to cast ballots.

The country entered this election with deep divisions. Issues include whether ultra-Orthodox populations should remain exempt from military service. Many families have lost members in three years of war. Netanyahu, the longest-serving prime minister, faces corruption allegations and accusations that he delayed hostage deals for political gain. His government also faces international scrutiny over the treatment of Palestinians in Gaza and settler violence in the West Bank.

Brosli Elias, a resident of Nazareth, expressed cautious hope. He said, “God willing, we will have something for us in the government, something that will bring us our rights.” The political uncertainty is compounded by the threat of further strikes against Iran. The Trump administration has spoken of new attacks after the November 3 midterm elections. Experts suggest Netanyahu could use a renewed war to push for a unity government.

A unity government could delay a public inquiry into security failures. These failures led to the Hamas-led assault on October 7, 2023. That event sparked the current war in Gaza and remains the deadliest extremist attack in Israel’s history.

Source: The Irish Times

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