Matthews, Podkolzin, and Michkov drive NHL scoring surge
Early season data shows a rebound for veterans and a breakout for young stars, with Matthews pacing a 54-goal projection.
By John Price ·

Toronto captain Auston Matthews is pacing for 54 goals and 120 points after recording nine goals in his first 14 games of the 2026-27 season. The performance marks a sharp reversal from two recent seasons of reduced production, positioning the captain as a central figure in the league's early scoring leaders.
NHL Edge data indicates a measurable improvement in Matthews' skating speed. His velocity in the 20-22 mph range has climbed from the 52nd to the 68th percentile, while his 18-20 mph bursts have jumped from the 72nd to the 93rd percentile. He is also applying more pressure on the forecheck, helping his line force turnovers and create offensive chances.
Several other players are posting numbers that exceed their recent career averages. Edmonton's Konstantin Komaroff, identified in the source as Podkolzin, is on pace for more than 50 goals and 90 points. Playing nearly 20 minutes per game on a line with Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, he is earning trust in critical defensive situations while contributing heavily on offense.
Philadelphia's Matvei Michkov leads the Flyers in points with eight goals in 14 games. The 2023 seventh overall pick has equaled his power-play goal output from the previous season. Analysts note that a 30-goal season remains a realistic target even if his shooting percentage normalizes as the season progresses.
Vancouver's Elias Pettersson is producing at a rate of roughly one point per game under a new coaching staff. He ranks in the top five among NHL forwards for blocked shots and has already matched his power-play goal total from last season. The team had attempted to trade him multiple times over the past two years due to off-ice noise and inconsistent play.
Ottawa goaltender Linus Ullmark was second in the league at 8.4 goals above expected according to MoneyPuck before suffering an injury. He is expected to return within the next week. The Senators face a significant drop-off in performance when Samuel Ersson starts, making Ullmark's recovery a key factor for the team's standing.
New York Rangers forward Alexis Lafreniere is receiving about 19 minutes of top-line ice time per game. With Artemi Panarin no longer on the roster, Lafreniere is creating chances through more assertive play and improved zone entries. Toronto's Owen Cowan has also moved to the top line, recording 13 points in 14 games, which is nearly half of his total from his rookie year.
Source: ESPN
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